Champions Trophy 2025: India vs Pakistan Match Prediction – Who Will Win the 5th Match?

The thrilling Pakistan vs India match in the ICC Champions Trophy 2025 is set for February 23 at 2:30 PM LOCAL at the Dubai International Cricket Stadium. Both teams aim for a crucial Group A win, making this a high-stakes battle.

The Dubai International Cricket Stadium pitch offers a fair contest between batters and bowlers. Both pacers and spinners have been effective here while chasing teams have won 80% of the last 10 ODIs. This promises to be an exciting clash with India’s strong batting lineup and Pakistan’s dangerous bowling attack.

So, who will win this big game? Will India’s good form and deep batting order give them the upper hand, or will Pakistan’s fiery pace attack and unpredictability change the game? Let’s analyze the pitch, team performance, and key players to predict the winner!

IND vs PAK Match Prediction Details

Pitch Report

The Dubai International Cricket Stadium pitch offers a balanced contest between bat and ball. Pacers get an early swing, while spinners find grip as the game progresses. Batting becomes easier under lights, making chasing a favorable option. With an average first-innings score of around 260, teams winning 80% of the last 10 ODIs while chasing have had success

Weather Report

The weather in Dubai on February 23, 2025, is expected to be warm and dry, with temperatures around 28-32°C during the match. Humidity will be moderate, and there’s no chance of rain, ensuring an uninterrupted game. Wind speeds of 10-15 km/h might assist swing bowlers early on, but overall, conditions will remain ideal for cricket.

Toss Prediction & Impact on the Match

Toss Winner & Decision:

The team winning the toss is likely to bowl first, as chasing teams have had better success at the Dubai International Cricket Stadium. With dew possibly playing a role in the second innings, bowlers might struggle to grip the ball later on.

IND vs PAK H2H in ODI

India Team Analysis & Playing XI

India enters the PAK vs IND Champions Trophy 2025 clash with a formidable squad, blending experienced stars with emerging talents. With a strong batting unit and a well-rounded bowling attack, India aims to continue its recent dominance in ODIs.

Batting Strengths: India boasts a solid top order with Rohit Sharma and Shubman Gill, both capable of providing explosive starts. Virat Kohli anchors the innings, while KL Rahul and Suryakumar Yadav add firepower in the middle. Hardik Pandya strengthens the lower order, offering finishing ability along with all-round support.

Bowling Strengths: India’s pace attack is led by Arshdeep Singh and Jasprit Bumrah, providing both swing and death-over expertise. Axar Patel and Kuldeep Yadav offer quality spin, crucial on Dubai’s surface. Hardik Pandya’s seam bowling adds balance to the attack.

Weaknesses: India’s reliance on a few key batters could be a concern. If early wickets fall, the middle order may struggle under pressure. The lack of a specialist off-spinner might also affect their ability to counter left-handed opposition batters.

IND’s Probable Playing XI vs PAK

1️⃣ Rohit Sharma (c)
2️⃣ Shubman Gill
3️⃣ Virat Kohli
4️⃣ KL Rahul †
5️⃣ Suryakumar Yadav
6️⃣ Hardik Pandya
7️⃣ Ravindra Jadeja
8️⃣ Axar Patel
9️⃣ Jasprit Bumrah
🔟 Arshdeep Singh
1️⃣1️⃣ Kuldeep Yadav

Pakistan Team Analysis & Playing XI

Pakistan enters the PAK vs IND Champions Trophy 2025 match with a squad full of raw pace, skilled spinners, and a batting unit capable of both stability and explosiveness. Their recent performances have been inconsistent, but on their day, they can challenge any opposition.

Batting Strengths: Pakistan’s top order relies on the experienced Babar Azam and the aggressive Fakhar Zaman to provide a solid start. Mohammad Rizwan is a dependable anchor in the middle, while Agha Salman and Iftikhar Ahmed bring stability and finishing power.

Bowling Strengths: Led by Shaheen Shah Afridi, Pakistan’s fast bowling attack is one of the best in the world. Naseem Shah and Haris Rauf add raw pace, while Abrar Ahmed and Shadab Khan provide effective spin options to control the middle overs.

Weaknesses: Pakistan has struggled with consistency, especially in high-pressure matches. Their middle order sometimes fails under pressure, and the team heavily depends on Babar Azam and Mohammad Rizwan for stability. If their top order collapses, recovery can be difficult.

PAK’s Probable Playing XI

1️⃣ Babar Azam (c)
2️⃣ Fakhar Zaman
3️⃣ Mohammad Rizwan †
4️⃣ Saud Shakeel
5️⃣ Agha Salman
6️⃣ Iftikhar Ahmed
7️⃣ Shadab Khan
8️⃣ Shaheen Shah Afridi
9️⃣ Naseem Shah
🔟 Haris Rauf
1️⃣1️⃣ Abrar Ahmed

India’s Possible Key Players

Shubman Gill: Shubman Gill has been in outstanding form, scoring 417 runs in 7 matches at an average of 69.5 and a strike rate of 88.34. His ability to play long innings and rotate the strike efficiently makes him a crucial player at the top.

Rohit Sharma: India’s captain and experienced opener, Rohit Sharma, has amassed 320 runs in 7 matches at an average of 45.71 and an impressive strike rate of 130.08. His aggressive batting approach can provide India with a strong start.

Arshdeep Singh: Arshdeep Singh has been India’s standout pacer, taking 14 wickets in 6 matches, with an economy of 4.76 and a strike rate of 21. His ability to swing the ball early and deliver in the death overs makes him a key bowler.

Axar Patel: Axar Patel has picked up 10 wickets in 9 matches with an economy rate of 4.32 and a strike rate of 44. His left-arm spin will be crucial in the middle overs, especially on surfaces that assist spinners.

Pakistan’s Possible Key Players

Agha Salman: Agha Salman has been Pakistan’s most consistent batter recently, scoring 458 runs in 10 matches at an average of 57.25 and a strike rate of 104.8. His ability to anchor the innings while accelerating when needed makes him a key middle-order player.

Mohammad Rizwan: Mohammad Rizwan has been a reliable performer, amassing 364 runs in 10 matches at an average of 52 and a strike rate of 79.47. His stability and ability to guide the chase make him one of Pakistan’s most dependable batters.

Abrar Ahmed: Abrar Ahmed has been effective with the ball, taking 14 wickets in 8 matches, with an economy rate of 4.95 and a strike rate of 32.57. His ability to extract turn from the pitch makes him a dangerous spinner in middle overs.

Shaheen Shah Afridi: Pakistan’s pace spearhead, Shaheen Shah Afridi, has claimed 13 wickets in 7 matches, maintaining an economy of 6.72 and a strike rate of 29.53. His early breakthroughs with the new ball will be crucial for Pakistan’s success.

IND vs PAK Today’s Match Prediction

If India bowls first in this Champions Trophy 2025 match, they have a 55% chance of winning. The Dubai International Cricket Stadium pitch generally supports batting, but chasing teams have found success due to dew and favorable conditions under lights.

India’s in-form top order, featuring Shubman Gill and Rohit Sharma, along with their balanced bowling attack, led by Arshdeep Singh and Axar Patel, can make it difficult for Pakistan to set a high total. Pakistan will need strong performances from Mohammad Rizwan and Agha Salman to post a competitive score.

Winner Prediction: Team Bowl First Has a 55% chance of winning.

Disclaimer: This match prediction is based on analyzing team performance, pitch conditions, and recent trends. Cricket is unpredictable, and actual results may vary. We do not guarantee accuracy and advise readers to use their judgment before making decisions.